updated Apr 14In a comment on our Friday
post, local conservative blogger Russ Steele begs to differ with its content, and does so at his
weblog.
Russ is making two specific objections:
First, he says we
do need "balance" in reporting climate science issues.
(Russ, is it just the specific case of climate science reporting that you disagree on, or all kinds of science reporting?
Do you agree that in the case of alien abduction experiences (which Mooney explains
do have a scientific, non-alien explanation), "balanced reporting" does a disservice to the readers?
What's your overall (i.e., not attacking a minor point) impression of the April Scientific American editorial on this problem, "
Okay, We Give Up"?)
In support of the need for balance, Russ cites the 'contrarian' pair (environmental economist Ross McKitrick and mining executive Steven McIntyre) critiqued
here (see also
Real Climate's
myth #4.)
Will we get down into the point-by-point climate science trenches with Russ? No. NCFocus has no expertise in climate science, nor a belief that developing one would be the best use of our sadly limited mental resources (and time): outsourcing judgment to the experts is likely to yield far better results. Don't take it up here, Russ; take it up with the scientists who devote their lives to studying climate science and aren't being funded by those with a vested interest in a particular outcome.
Also see Krugman's April 5
column - "Thirty years ago, attacks on science came mostly from the left; these days, they come overwhelmingly from the right, and have the backing of leading Republicans..."
Second, Russ
attacks Rogers' claim (
here(PDF), on the
PACNC website - don't forget to link to what you're criticising! It shows you have faith in your position and in your readers) that CRI's "82% support parental notification" automated phone survey results boiled down to only 5.4% of actual survey responders saying yes - Russ says the %response was % of total calls made, not of people who answered any survey questions.
([Apr 14] sorry, this confusingly worded to the point that I'm afraid to clarify it for fear of changing the meaning and making it wrong - maybe another night, when I'm awake...)(another apparent real flaw: she does also state that 200 responses are needed for statistical validity, which sounds (to NCFocus) more like someone's rule of thumb than statistical truth; doesn't the # needed for statistical significance depend on the results?)
Apr 14 update: By "validity", she's probably referring to statistical power, not statistical significance as we originally assumed.
Also this Boston Globe article is relevant, in an amusing way - them Easterners got mighty high standards:"If it were our poll, we would be very upset if it were used in a way that did not make it clear that there were that many [20%; CRI's was ~ 90%] nonrespondents," said Francis J. Connolly, senior analyst for the Kiley and Co. public opinion research firm.
...
Also amusing: Rodgers is troubled by the editor's influence over both the editorial and news pages. "As senior news editor, Cliff Schechtman makes the final decisions," he said. "He also actively participates in the paper's editorial policy..."
Russ says:
Typical survey responses are 2 to 3 percent. This survey’s response was over 6 percent, a valid survey response. It was not a bogus survey, as suggested on the PACNC web site.
Another point though - it's only "valid" if the responses of those who
did answer the question are representative of the public as a whole. It seems likely that the few who
don't hang up on automated phone spam are likely to be substantially different from the general population.
In any case, it's our considered opinion that the PACNC
Q&A and
Myths and Facts have info that's more relevant to what the policy should be.
(Russ does link to CRI's
response to McCall's April 5
column in the Union, which we hadn't done, so here it is.)