Wednesday, June 27, 2012

Stock responses to "inaction" talking points on climate change

Why engage? “The thing humans fear more than anything else is the inability to care for our children," says Auden Schendler (*).  Caring would seem to include protecting their home and life support system.

For a succinct all-purpose rejoinder to doubter objections, see what Peter Thomson would say (skip down to "I’d tell ...[them] that every major national scientific academy in the world...")

If someone stresses uncertainty but doesn't point out its implications, remind him or her that uncertainty cuts both ways, and in risk management it's actually cause for greater urgency - "As uncertainty increases, the probability of a truly catastrophic outcome [goes up much more: an increase in]...the standard deviation of our distribution...from .5 to 2.5 increases the likelihood of catastrophe by a factor of 200." (link).  Plus uncertainty doesn't hobble us elsewhere: "there is more certainty about climate change than around most of the issues we choose to act on as individuals or in our society." (*).  And, in models projecting the future climate, the biggest uncertainty actually lies in what we'll decide (or not decide) to do. (link)
For folks who think climate change can be fought effectively without putting a price on carbon, see this "hot topic" post ('...economist William Nordhaus says, "If economics provides a single bottom line for policy, it is that we need to correct this market failure by ensuring that all people, everywhere, and for the indefinite future are confronted with a market price for the use of carbon that reflects the social costs of their activities. ..."')

(I'm sure I'm duplicating Skeptical Science content here, since this is extremely well-trodden turf; best to go there for more.)

An account of a problem should always end by offering an action, so -
What can you do?  Ask yourself, what's your biggest lever?  Then pull on it.

No comments:

Post a Comment

Welcome, and thanks for caring enough to donate your time and thoughts toward greater collective wisdom...

Terms of engagement:
* Please be civil.
* * * * Please do not post anonymously * * * (I'd remove this choice if I could, and I may remove your comment if you do) - instead, do this:
Click on the 'Name/URL' radiobutton, then enter your real name (if you're brave) or a pseudonym (if you're not). (You can leave the "URL" field blank.)
Or go ahead and click "Anonymous", but put your name in your comment.

* The Management reserves the right to delete comments (Moderation Certificate can be found here). You can always post it on a blog of your own.

If you run into technical difficulties, please a) accept my apologies, then b) email your comment to aherror2011 at gmail.com with "Comment for [name of this blog]" in the Subject line.

New policy re climate contrarianism comments as of 11/11/2009:
Comments questioning the climate science community's understanding of climate change (97% of active climatologists now believe that the earth is currently warming and that it's human-caused - link) will be deleted unless the commenter:
a) is local
b) uses his real name
c) provides link(s) to substantiate his claim(s)/inference(s)
d) is willing to collaborate on constructing an argument tree, to get us past the usual sterile point-counterpoint-countercounterpoint.
(For people who can't read the above, a summary:
1) Be civil;
2) Don't post w/o giving at least a pseudonym;
3) Don't espouse climate-denial crankery unless you're local and willing to stand behind it.)

Caveats:
1. Comments could be delayed: they are being moderated, and I'm sometimes away from the computer for a day or more.
2. : Perfectly legitimate comments are sometimes miscategorized (by the blogging platform) as spam, & not published. If this happens to yours, please notify me, else I might not notice for a day or two.