Saturday, February 03, 2007

Best writing on peak oil and climate change

Jim Kunstler (e.g. this) for testosterone, Sharon Astyk for estrogen.
Stayed up way too late last night reading her blog - start with My Children's Century, Part I and you'll likely have trouble stopping too.
"Wealthy nations are literally killing poor people by the millions by our choices, and climate change is poised to accelerate this. ..."
Both religious people and activists represent a kind of resistance against a populace that often seems to adhere to no principles at all, that exercises no discipline upon desire, and often seems to care for nothing greater than the next thing.
and
peak oil is not about petroleum geology, or economics when you get right down to it... Peak Oil is a justice movement, plain and simple. It is about fairness, morality and justice - we in the rich world have chosen to steal from the poor in our own country and other nations, and from our children and grandchildren, and we need to stop it right now.
and
Americans routinely believe that America stands for freedom (even when it doesn't) - but we never think of America standing for responsibility.
...How do we change ourselves from a people who believe that our freedom is bound up in consumption, and in the right to become rich, regardless of the consequences, to a people who think it is more important to ensure that their neighbors also have food and shelter? How do we make ourselves into a people who willingly endure some hardship for the greater good?
...And how do we convince adults to look critically at the consequences of their own actions?

Elizabeth Kolbert's series The Climate of Man, which appeared in the New Yorker in 2005 - I, II, III

Global warming myths and lies

5 comments:

Russ said...

Anna:

You are almost as bad as Al Gore in promoting junk science. Here are two examples from the Global Warming Myths and Lies you are promoting:

4. The sea level has not changed.

Yes, it has. Since 1900, sea level has risen by about 35 cm (13.8 inches). This change in sea level is accelerating.

According a presentation at AGU meeting by Dr Holgate:

When the decadal rates of change are integrated over the entire twentieth century we obtain the figure on the right. Sea level can be seen to have risen around 170 mm on average over the past century. The mean rate for the twentieth century calculated in this way is 1.67±0.04 mm/yr. The first half of the century (1904-1953) had a slightly higher rate (1.91±0.14 mm/yr) in comparison with the second half of the century (1.42±0.14 mm/yr 1954-2003).

Anna, 177mm is 6.9 inches not 13.8 inches. Also if you will note that in the last half of the century, the rate of sea level rise was 1.42±0.14 mm/yr, down from 1.91±0.14 mm/yr. That is not acceleration, it is deceleration. Details here: http://www.climateaudit.org/?p=1125#comment-83119

And then we have this:

7. Variations in solar output cause global warming

While global warming could not occur without solar influx, the sun’s output has been relatively stable for as long as we’ve studied it, and has in fact been declining in recent years. Solar variability plays a very small role, if any, in global warming.

Recent satellite observations have shown that the solar irradiance does indeed increase by about 0.15% from sunspot minimum to sunspot maximum (Willson and Hudson 1991; Fröhlich 2000) as the enhanced emission from faculae or plage regions exceeds the reduction caused by sunspots (Foukal and Lean 1990; Spruit 2000). Stellar magnetic activity can be measured by monitoring H and K emission lines from ionized calcium in their chromospheres, since such emission is correlated with magnetic fields in the Sun. From comparisons between the Sun and similar stars that show magnetic cycles it is estimated that the mean solar irradiance, averaged over 11-yr cycles, has increased by 0.1%–0.2% since the Maunder Minimum (Lean 1994; Lean et al. 1995; Beer et al. 1998; Solanki 2000).

The sun out put is not declining, it is increasesing. As you can see in my summary paper on the Dalton Minimum at SESF Web site (sesfoundation.org), the Sun has a much larger role in the sun -> cosmic ray-> highly reflective low clouds -> cooler earth than just irridance. The sun has been more active in the past 100 years, than in the past 8,000. Thus, fewer cooling low clouds, warmer earth. See NC Media for posts on this subject.

I could debunk more if you desire, but this post is long enough for now.

Russ Steele

Anna Haynes said...

Russ, I'm sorry, but you're still under the influence of the denial industry. They've got the "junk science" term backwards, "junk science" is what's bought and paid for by Exxon and Philip Morris, laundered through the PR.

And yeah, I recognize that it's hard for us to make a U-turn in our beliefs, particularly ones we've held strongly and publicly.

Russ, you've been writing about the global warming issue for over 10 years now, AIRC. Do you keep a portfolio of your writings? if so, any chance you could put it online?

thanks-
Anna

Anna Haynes said...

From BBC news a year ago, Sea level rise 'is accelerating'

From the It's the sun argument debunking (part of How to Talk to a Global Warming Sceptic):
"According to PMOD at the World Radiation Center there has been no increase in solar irradiance since at least 1978 when satellite observations began. This means that for the last thirty years, while the temperature has been rising fastest, the sun has shown no trend."

Russ said...

Anna:

If you are looking for most of my global warming posts, go to my blog and click on the science category:

Where you will find this on sea level rise is not accelerating, regardless of what the BBC said.


http://ncwatch.typepad.com/media/2007/02/global_warming__2.html

http://ncwatch.typepad.com/media/2006/10/global_warming_.html

And this on a very active sun over the last 1,000 years. Remember the sun puts out energy in more than the visible spectrum. Also, look at my Dalton Paper on SESFoundation.org.

http://ncwatch.typepad.com/media/2006/07/consider_this_i.html

http://ncwatch.typepad.com/media/2006/03/the_sun_is_more.html

Anna Haynes said...

Russ, if it's you and the Exxon-funded few against 99.9% of the climatologists who've published peer-reviewed papers, I'm siding with the climatologists.