NaNoWriMo, OctoLearnMo

(revised Oct 6,8)
You may know that November is NaNoWriMo, National Novel Writing Month, for those so inclined; according to this LA Times article, in 2009 it had 167,000 participants, of whom a little more than a fifth did finish their 50,000+ word novel.

I'm christening this October OctoLearnMo, for self study.

Excellent NYTimes op-ed on how horse-race journalists are falling short even in horse-race analysis

Why Campaign Reporters Are Behind the Curve
"This is why [even non-science parts of] newspapers are worth reading," - me (*)

Worse than models projected: Record low arctic sea ice already, and still another couple weeks to go

Click for the animation:


Uncertainty is not our friend. The risk can be greater than models suggest: for Arctic sea ice, the loss is happening much faster than predicted.   So relying on the model projections to inform your decisionmaking may not be enough;


Water planners, there may be a lesson here.